{"id":24931,"date":"2022-11-17T13:35:57","date_gmt":"2022-11-17T12:35:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/soccerment.com\/?p=24931"},"modified":"2024-04-29T14:59:40","modified_gmt":"2024-04-29T14:59:40","slug":"midseason-reviews-2022-23-serie-a","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/soccerment.com\/it\/midseason-reviews-2022-23-serie-a\/","title":{"rendered":"Midseason reviews 2022\/23: Serie A"},"content":{"rendered":"

A stellar start to the season has seen Napoli gain an edge over the rest of the field. Our advanced metrics show that the top spot is well deserved, while Roma are the side with the largest underperformance compared to Expected Points. The two sides show the largest improvement in xG difference compared to 2021\/22, almost exclusively in attack for Napoli and in defense for Roma. In terms of playing style, Atalanta has had the most radical change, partially abandoning their signature man-to-man high pressing for a lower defensive block. Current top-scorer Victor Osimhen’s scoring form is corroborated by his underlying performance measured by xG, same as rookie sensations Kvaratskhelia and Lookman, while Deulofeu’s creative prowess continues to make him one of the most underrated players in Europe.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Current standings: Actual vs. Expected performance<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

For the third season running the Serie A will experience a very unusual calendar schedule with lots of games packed in short periods. Such tight schedules and the introduction (and confirmation) of the 5-substitution-rule has incentivized mangers to increase rotation among squad players in order to prevent injuries and maximize the players’ physical output.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we can notice in the graph, Napoli<\/strong> has been by the standout team both in terms of points and Expected Points<\/strong> (xP<\/strong>). In fact, they are also the greatest outperformers<\/strong> of xP<\/strong> (+7.88) in Serie A<\/strong><\/a>, with Lazio<\/strong> (+6.94) and Juventus<\/strong> (+6.31). Other notable outperformers so far have been AC Milan, Udinese<\/strong>, Salernitana<\/strong> and Empoli<\/strong> (+4.28, +2.27, +3.16 and +2.99 respectively).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Roma<\/strong> is the biggest and only significant underperformer among top clubs (-4.01).<\/em> The last 3 teams<\/strong> in the table are those who have recorded the largest underperfomances<\/strong> (-6.54 for Cremonese<\/strong>, -6.48 for Sampdoria<\/strong> and -11.08 for Hellas Verona<\/strong>). Verona in particular stand out considering they scored just 5 points despite accumulating 16.08 xP (14th in the league).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Points vs xP table for the 2022\/23 Serie A season<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
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With regards to Expected Goals<\/strong> (xG<\/strong>), the standout outperformers have been Udinese<\/strong> (24 goals in front of 18.88 xG) and Lazio<\/strong> (26 goals in front of 20.19 xG). Napoli and Inter Milan are the teams with best xG production in the league (33.28 xG and 29.86 xG) and have managed to convert their chances at a good rate considering they have scored 37 and 34 goals respectively. Roma aside, the greatest underperformers of xG have been Cremonese<\/strong> (-5.91) and Sampdoria<\/strong> (-5.59), this struggle to find the back of the net is the main reason for which they have also underperformed xP and find themselves trailing the other teams.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If we instead look at Expected Goals Against<\/strong> (xGA<\/strong>), Juventus<\/strong> and Lazio<\/strong> emerge among other top clubs in terms of outperformance of xGA (+8.47 and +5.47 respectively), which coincides with good performances from Perin<\/strong><\/a> (3.08 goals prevented), Szczesny<\/strong><\/a> and Provedel<\/strong><\/a>. Among the rest of the pack, Empoli<\/strong> have recorded by far the largest outperformance (+8.16) partially thanks to Vicario<\/strong><\/a>‘s efforts. Salernitana is the other outperformance case with 24 goals conceded in front of 28.66 xGA. The greatest undeperformers among top clubs have been Inter Milan<\/strong> (22 goals in front of 15.70 xGA) and Roma<\/strong> (14 goals in front of 9.96 xGA). Verona<\/strong> and Sampdoria<\/strong> conceded more goals than expected (29 and 27 in front of 22.11 and 22.51 xGA respectively).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Soccerment Analytics 2.0 <\/strong>has arrived! It covers 17 leagues and the access to the top 5 leagues is 101% FREE<\/strong> (it is not only free of charge<\/strong>, but free of ads<\/strong> as well!!). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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