Category: Advanced Metrics

  • AERO: a new aerial skill metric

    AERO: a new aerial skill metric

    In this blog post, we introduce our new Aerial Elo Rating Optimization (AERO) index, a new metric focused on aerial skill. Aerial skill metrics and the case for an Elo rating Aerial duels can be a key event in football on both ends of the pitch, and the relative skill between defenders and forwards in…

  • One-twos: a new metric for associative ball progression and chance creation

    One-twos: a new metric for associative ball progression and chance creation

    Ball progression and chance creation are key phases of play in football, which can be achieved in several ways. In this article, we introduce a new metric which quantifies a specific mode of associative ball progression and chance creation: one-twos. We describe our empirical definition of one-two in event data and characterize the resulting data…

  • Introducing Gegenpressing Intensity (GPI)

    Introducing Gegenpressing Intensity (GPI)

    Gegenpressing, or counterpressing, is now a well-established strategy in many possession-based teams. To capture this aspect of the game, we introduce a new metric, called Gegenpressing Intensity (GPI), which measures the fraction of times a team immediately attempts to regain the ball after losing possession in attacking areas, rather than falling back. We find that…

  • Shot quality and results in football

    Shot quality and results in football

    We investigate the link between shot quality, as measured by the team average xG per shot, and both results (in terms of wins) and performance (measured with our Expected Points model), for the top 5 European leagues. We find a strong link between xG per shot difference (xG per shot minus xG per shot conceded,…

  • The Very Exclusive xOVA Club

    The Very Exclusive xOVA Club

    We introduced Expected Offensive Value Added, or ‘xOVA’, to facilitate scouting for creative and skilled players, who are able to have a great impact in the final third of the pitch. Therefore, forwards, wingers and attacking midfielders top our xOVA charts. For example, in our database, the highest seasonal xOVA (22.27) was produced by Lionel…

  • Measuring pressing success: Buildup Disruption Percentage (BDP)

    Measuring pressing success: Buildup Disruption Percentage (BDP)

    Pressing is a fundamental part of many teams’ game plan in modern football. At the same time, it is difficult to measure it accurately using event data. While PPDA is certainly a very useful metric, in our view it would be advisable to complement it with different, indirect measurements of how teams are able to…

  • Soccerment's Expected Points model

    Soccerment's Expected Points model

    Expected Goals (xG) models allow us to quantify the chance quality of individual shots. This gives us the chance to quantify the probability of a team winning, losing or drawing the match, based on the two team’s total xG during the match. In turn, this can be translated into an expectation value for points gained…

  • Expected Threat

    Expected Threat

    One of the cornerstones of measuring offensive contributions in football is based on a very simple fact: the likelihood of scoring a goal in the next few actions depends heavily on the distance to goal at any given moment. It follows, therefore, that the most valuable actions, besides those directly related to scoring such as…

  • 2021/22 Premier League Preview

    2021/22 Premier League Preview

    Premier League’s Game 1 didn’t disappoint and seems the perfect appetiser for an exciting season. We are expecting an engaging hunt for the title, with Manchester City, Chelsea and Liverpool as the frontrunners, while Manchester United could fill the fourth UCL spot. Tottenham, Leicester and Arsenal will likely be involved in the fight for European…

  • [ITA] – Le statistiche avanzate di Soccerment

    [ITA] – Le statistiche avanzate di Soccerment

    Uno degli obiettivi principali dell’analisi dati applicata al calcio è di informare chi prende decisioni strategiche nel modo più oggettivo e imparziale possibile. Poiché il calcio è uno sport con punteggi bassi, dove il risultato è determinato da eventi rari soggetti ad un alto grado di casualità, statistiche come gol e assist sono spesso insufficienti…