Category: Football Analytics
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Soccerment's Expected Points model
Expected Goals (xG) models allow us to quantify the chance quality of individual shots. This gives us the chance to quantify the probability of a team winning, losing or drawing the match, based on the two team’s total xG during the match. In turn, this can be translated into an expectation value for points gained…
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Midseason reviews 2021/22: Serie A
According to our advanced metrics, Inter Milan are performing better under Inzaghi than they did under Conte last year, when the Nerazzurri won their 19th Scudetto. Whilst AC Milan have been reaping more points than expected based on the scoring chances they created, Juventus accumulated fewer points than they deserved, according to our xPts model:…
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Expected Threat
One of the cornerstones of measuring offensive contributions in football is based on a very simple fact: the likelihood of scoring a goal in the next few actions depends heavily on the distance to goal at any given moment. It follows, therefore, that the most valuable actions, besides those directly related to scoring such as…
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The rejuvenation of Crystal Palace
Last summer came with many changes for Crystal Palace, with the end of Roy Hodgon’s tenure, the appointment of Patrick Vieira as manager and a very busy transfer window, which led to a very interesting team rejuvenation. If we compare the start of the current season with the same period of 2020/21, the Eagles have…
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Top 5 leagues through the "xLenses"
League football is back after an intense international break. Time for recapping what has happened so far in the European top 5 competitions. We have analysed them using our advanced metrics (xPoints, xG, xA, xOVA, etc.), which sometimes confirm the tables’ initial verdicts (like in the case of Napoli), while in other cases highlight how…
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2021/22 Bundesliga preview
In 2020/21, Bayern Munich managed an unprecedented 9th Bundesliga title in a row and are the clear favourites for this season too. Their continuous reinforcement at the detriment of the competitors (Upamecano and Nagelsmann the most recent) has allowed them to keep dominating the domestic scene. Competition for the European spots is fierce as always,…
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2021/22 La Liga Preview
For the first time in eighteen years, La Liga started without Lionel Messi, who left FCB and joined PSG, owing to the Blaugrana‘s financial issues. Meanwhile, Real Madrid have so far lost two defensive pillars (Sergio Ramos and Varane). However, their transfer window could obviously go from underwhelming to brilliant if they were to sign…
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![[ITA] – Anteprima Serie A 2021/22](https://soccerment.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/Soccerment_Logo_SerieA-1024x5361-2.png)
[ITA] – Anteprima Serie A 2021/22
La pandemia sta intaccando i bilanci delle squadre italiane, incentivando alcuni top player come Romelu Lukaku, Achraf Hakimi e Gianluigi Donnarumma a lasciare la Serie A. Questa situazione dovrebbe favorire la Juventus e l’Atalanta, che attualmente sembrano in pole position per lo Scudetto. A nostro avviso, la principale competizione italiana, ormai ridimensionata, è matura per…
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2021/22 Serie A Preview
The coronavirus pandemic is biting into team budgets in Italy, incentivising some top players like Romelu Lukaku, Achraf Hakimi and Gianluigi Donnarumma to leave the Italian Serie A. This outflow should favour Juventus and Atalanta, who currently seem to be in pole position for the Scudetto. In our view, the downsized Italian top tier is…
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2021/22 Premier League Preview
Premier League’s Game 1 didn’t disappoint and seems the perfect appetiser for an exciting season. We are expecting an engaging hunt for the title, with Manchester City, Chelsea and Liverpool as the frontrunners, while Manchester United could fill the fourth UCL spot. Tottenham, Leicester and Arsenal will likely be involved in the fight for European…
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