Category: Football Analytics
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2021/22 Serie A Preview
The coronavirus pandemic is biting into team budgets in Italy, incentivising some top players like Romelu Lukaku, Achraf Hakimi and Gianluigi Donnarumma to leave the Italian Serie A. This outflow should favour Juventus and Atalanta, who currently seem to be in pole position for the Scudetto. In our view, the downsized Italian top tier is…
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2021/22 Premier League Preview
Premier League’s Game 1 didn’t disappoint and seems the perfect appetiser for an exciting season. We are expecting an engaging hunt for the title, with Manchester City, Chelsea and Liverpool as the frontrunners, while Manchester United could fill the fourth UCL spot. Tottenham, Leicester and Arsenal will likely be involved in the fight for European…
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[ITA] – Le statistiche avanzate di Soccerment
Uno degli obiettivi principali dell’analisi dati applicata al calcio è di informare chi prende decisioni strategiche nel modo più oggettivo e imparziale possibile. Poiché il calcio è uno sport con punteggi bassi, dove il risultato è determinato da eventi rari soggetti ad un alto grado di casualità, statistiche come gol e assist sono spesso insufficienti…
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Soccerment's Advanced Metrics
One of the main goals of data analytics in football is to inform performance analysts and other decision-makers in the most objective and unbiased way possible. As football is a low-scoring sport with crucial events that are subject to a high degree of randomness, metrics such as goals scored and assists are often insufficient to…
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[ITA] – Coppie goal e cuori infranti
Per un attaccante, trovare la giusta alchimia con il proprio compagno di reparto è una parte fondamentale del gioco. Solitamente fa la differenza tra un attacco affidabile, prolifico e uno sterile. A volte, le sinergie create dalle partnership sono talmente rilevanti che romperle è estremamente doloroso, sia per i tifosi che per gli allenatori. Pensate…
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Relationship goals and painful breakups
For a forward, finding the right chemistry with a strike partner is a fundamental part of the game. It often makes the difference between a solid, reliable attack and a stagnant one. Sometimes, the synergies created by the partnerships are such that breaking them is really painful, for fans as well as for the coaches.…
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2021/22 Ligue 1 Preview
The 2021/22 French Ligue 1 is kickstarting on Friday 6th August at 9:00pm CET, with the match between Monaco and Nantes. The league’s obvious frontrunners seem to be PSG, as they strengthened their already competitive squad (highest amount of Expected Points last season, according to our model) with the arrivals of Donnarumma, Sergio Ramos, Hakimi…
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Looking for hidden gems?
The football market is still characterised by high levels of inefficiency, offering plenty of opportunities for arbitrage (trading the same asset in different markets to take advantage of differences in price). In this context, data analytics can offer market actors a significant competitive edge. Using our proprietary performance indicators, plus player salaries, to build an…
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EURO 2020's penalty takers
In a tournament like the European Championship, the difference between victory and defeat is often determined by penalties. Since 1976, more than one-fourth of the knock-out matches have indeed been decided by penalty shoot-outs (27.7%). Skilled finishers who are able to handle high pressure can clearly become a decisive factor in such a competition. Obviously,…
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[ITA] – Wonderkids: 2021 Outlook
Niente cattura l’immaginazione di un tifoso di calcio quanto l’esplosione di giovani talenti, giocatori circondati da grandi speranze e aspettative ma anche da una significativa incertezza. Prevedere il percorso della carriera di un giovane calciatore è un esercizio estremamente complesso, tenendo conto delle tante variabili che possono far deragliare improvvisamente anche la più ovvia delle…