Category: Football Analytics

Midseason reviews 2021/22: Serie A

According to our advanced metrics, Inter Milan are performing better under Inzaghi than they did under Conte last year, when the Nerazzurri won their 19th Scudetto. Whilst AC Milan have been reaping more points than expected based on the scoring chances they created, Juventus accumulated fewer points than they deserved, according to our xPts model:…

December 30, 2021
Expected Threat

One of the cornerstones of measuring offensive contributions in football is based on a very simple fact: the likelihood of scoring a goal in the next few actions depends heavily on the distance to goal at any given moment. It follows, therefore, that the most valuable actions, besides those directly related to scoring such as…

December 6, 2021
The rejuvenation of Crystal Palace

Last summer came with many changes for Crystal Palace, with the end of Roy Hodgon’s tenure, the appointment of Patrick Vieira as manager and a very busy transfer window, which led to a very interesting team rejuvenation. If we compare the start of the current season with the same period of 2020/21, the Eagles have…

November 17, 2021
Top 5 leagues through the "xLenses"

League football is back after an intense international break. Time for recapping what has happened so far in the European top 5 competitions. We have analysed them using our advanced metrics (xPoints, xG, xA, xOVA, etc.), which sometimes confirm the tables’ initial verdicts (like in the case of Napoli), while in other cases highlight how…

October 13, 2021
2021/22 Bundesliga preview

In 2020/21, Bayern Munich managed an unprecedented 9th Bundesliga title in a row and are the clear favourites for this season too. Their continuous reinforcement at the detriment of the competitors (Upamecano and Nagelsmann the most recent) has allowed them to keep dominating the domestic scene. Competition for the European spots is fierce as always,…

August 27, 2021
2021/22 La Liga Preview

For the first time in eighteen years, La Liga started without Lionel Messi, who left FCB and joined PSG, owing to the Blaugrana‘s financial issues. Meanwhile, Real Madrid have so far lost two defensive pillars (Sergio Ramos and Varane). However, their transfer window could obviously go from underwhelming to brilliant if they were to sign…

August 25, 2021
[ITA] – Anteprima Serie A 2021/22

La pandemia sta intaccando i bilanci delle squadre italiane, incentivando alcuni top player come Romelu Lukaku, Achraf Hakimi e Gianluigi Donnarumma a lasciare la Serie A. Questa situazione dovrebbe favorire la Juventus e l’Atalanta, che attualmente sembrano in pole position per lo Scudetto. A nostro avviso, la principale competizione italiana, ormai ridimensionata, è matura per…

August 19, 2021
2021/22 Serie A Preview

The coronavirus pandemic is biting into team budgets in Italy, incentivising some top players like Romelu Lukaku, Achraf Hakimi and Gianluigi Donnarumma to leave the Italian Serie A. This outflow should favour Juventus and Atalanta, who currently seem to be in pole position for the Scudetto. In our view, the downsized Italian top tier is…

August 19, 2021
2021/22 Premier League Preview

Premier League’s Game 1 didn’t disappoint and seems the perfect appetiser for an exciting season. We are expecting an engaging hunt for the title, with Manchester City, Chelsea and Liverpool as the frontrunners, while Manchester United could fill the fourth UCL spot. Tottenham, Leicester and Arsenal will likely be involved in the fight for European…

August 15, 2021
[ITA] – Le statistiche avanzate di Soccerment

Uno degli obiettivi principali dell’analisi dati applicata al calcio è di informare chi prende decisioni strategiche nel modo più oggettivo e imparziale possibile. Poiché il calcio è uno sport con punteggi bassi, dove il risultato è determinato da eventi rari soggetti ad un alto grado di casualità, statistiche come gol e assist sono spesso insufficienti…

August 12, 2021

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