Harry Kane, Ballon d'Or 2026 winner: why the data says nobody finished better

73 goals in 65 matches for Bayern and England, and the best finishing in Europe by a distance. The season of the 70th Ballon d'Or winner, through SICS Atlas data.

Harry Kane is the 2026 Ballon d'Or winner. Soccerment Research went through his season with SICS Atlas data and xValue, Soccerment's event-value metric, and shared the analysis with Fabrizio Romano on 27 October 2026. The short version: nobody in Europe finished better.

A historic season: 73 goals in 65 matches

Kane scored 73 goals in 65 matches for Bayern München and England: the second-highest club-and-country total in a season this century, behind only Lionel Messi's 82 in 2011/12.

• Bundesliga: 36 goals, 17 more than anyone else, with four hat-tricks, and +19.0 xValue, 2nd in Europe's top five leagues behind Olise.
• Champions League: 14 goals and +8.7 xValue, 2nd in the competition behind Kvaratskhelia, with his best performance against Chelsea (+1.97 xValue).
• World Cup: 6 goals for England, including two in the opener against Croatia.

Over the whole season he added +30.1 xValue, 2nd in Europe overall, and 0.61 xValue per 90 minutes: the best centre-forward in Europe.

Nobody finished better

Expected goals (xG) measure the chance of a shot before it is taken; expected goals on target (xGoT) measure its quality after it leaves the foot, accounting for placement and power. Kane's shots were worth 37.3 xG and 51.4 xGoT: +14.1 added through execution alone, first in Europe by a distance. 54% of his shots hit the target, the best rate among the 34 players with 100 or more shots.

What xValue says

xValue splits each shot into the decision to shoot and the execution. Kane earned 0.48 xValue per 90 minutes from all his shots, 1st in Europe ahead of Erling Haaland (0.39), and +0.27 per 90 minutes from shot execution alone, also 1st in Europe. The methodology is explained in Introducing xValue.

Inside the SICS Atlas player report

The full report includes Kane's complete player report, exported directly from SICS Atlas, where it is available for every player. Compared with Bundesliga strikers in 2025/26, he ranks in the 99th percentile for non-penalty goals (0.89 per 90 minutes), shots on target (2.18 per 90 minutes), goals over expected goals (2.53) and aerial duels won (62.3%).

The verdict

Trophies and big moments decide the vote. The numbers say nobody finished better.

Key takeaways

• Harry Kane won the 2026 Ballon d'Or after 73 goals in 65 matches for Bayern München and England, the second-highest club-and-country total this century.
• He added +14.1 goals through finishing execution alone (51.4 xGoT against 37.3 xG), first in Europe by a distance.
• xValue ranks him 1st in Europe for the value of his shots (0.48 per 90 minutes) and the best centre-forward in Europe overall (0.61 per 90).
• The analysis uses SICS Atlas data and xValue, Soccerment's event-value metric.

Read also: The Ballon d'Or 2026 snubs: Doué, Raphinha and Enzo Fernández through the lens of xValue