Tag: Serie A

  • Midseason reviews 2022/23: Serie A

    A stellar start to the season has seen Napoli gain an edge over the rest of the field. Our advanced metrics show that the top spot is well deserved, while Roma are the side with the largest underperformance compared to Expected Points. The two sides show the largest improvement in xG difference compared to 2021/22,…

  • Shot quality and results in football

    We investigate the link between shot quality, as measured by the team average xG per shot, and both results (in terms of wins) and performance (measured with our Expected Points model), for the top 5 European leagues. We find a strong link between xG per shot difference (xG per shot minus xG per shot conceded,…

  • The Very Exclusive xOVA Club

    We introduced Expected Offensive Value Added, or ‘xOVA’, to facilitate scouting for creative and skilled players, who are able to have a great impact in the final third of the pitch. Therefore, forwards, wingers and attacking midfielders top our xOVA charts. For example, in our database, the highest seasonal xOVA (22.27) was produced by Lionel…

  • Measuring pressing success: Buildup Disruption Percentage (BDP)

    Pressing is a fundamental part of many teams’ game plan in modern football. At the same time, it is difficult to measure it accurately using event data. While PPDA is certainly a very useful metric, in our view it would be advisable to complement it with different, indirect measurements of how teams are able to…

  • Soccerment's Expected Points model

    Expected Goals (xG) models allow us to quantify the chance quality of individual shots. This gives us the chance to quantify the probability of a team winning, losing or drawing the match, based on the two team’s total xG during the match. In turn, this can be translated into an expectation value for points gained…

  • Midseason reviews 2021/22: Serie A

    According to our advanced metrics, Inter Milan are performing better under Inzaghi than they did under Conte last year, when the Nerazzurri won their 19th Scudetto. Whilst AC Milan have been reaping more points than expected based on the scoring chances they created, Juventus accumulated fewer points than they deserved, according to our xPts model:…

  • Expected Threat

    One of the cornerstones of measuring offensive contributions in football is based on a very simple fact: the likelihood of scoring a goal in the next few actions depends heavily on the distance to goal at any given moment. It follows, therefore, that the most valuable actions, besides those directly related to scoring such as…

  • Top 5 leagues through the "xLenses"

    League football is back after an intense international break. Time for recapping what has happened so far in the European top 5 competitions. We have analysed them using our advanced metrics (xPoints, xG, xA, xOVA, etc.), which sometimes confirm the tables’ initial verdicts (like in the case of Napoli), while in other cases highlight how…

  • [ITA] – Anteprima Serie A 2021/22

    La pandemia sta intaccando i bilanci delle squadre italiane, incentivando alcuni top player come Romelu Lukaku, Achraf Hakimi e Gianluigi Donnarumma a lasciare la Serie A. Questa situazione dovrebbe favorire la Juventus e l’Atalanta, che attualmente sembrano in pole position per lo Scudetto. A nostro avviso, la principale competizione italiana, ormai ridimensionata, è matura per…

  • 2021/22 Serie A Preview

    The coronavirus pandemic is biting into team budgets in Italy, incentivising some top players like Romelu Lukaku, Achraf Hakimi and Gianluigi Donnarumma to leave the Italian Serie A. This outflow should favour Juventus and Atalanta, who currently seem to be in pole position for the Scudetto. In our view, the downsized Italian top tier is…